加拿大将对价值 1550 亿加元美国产品征收 25% 关税，此举能否有效维护加拿大的国家利益？
更新：在另一个战场巴拿马，卢比奥刚刚到访了巴拿马，巴拿马总统立刻就降了，要撕毁和中国的一带一路合作。
加拿大是全球唯六没有国家层面黄金储备的国家。其余五个是：阿曼、亚美尼亚、阿塞拜疆、尼加拉瓜、喀麦隆。
加拿大极右翼政党人民党党魁Maxim Bernier观点，看起来颇为理智，但是他借机要求暂停移民，这对于加拿大来说应该是不可能的。
It’s important to understand that the 25% tariffs announced by President Trump today are NOT imposed on Canada — they will be paid by American consumers and businesses who buy goods imported from Canada. Tariffs are a tax, and Americans who will have to pay more or go without our products will be the first to suffer.
Of course, Canadian exporters of these goods will as a consequence lose clients, contracts and sales, and will be forced to cut down on production and lay off workers. Or they will lower their prices to keep market shares and will see their profits diminish.
Because 75% of our exports go south of the border, our economy will for sure be very negatively impacted by this.
The stupidest thing our government can do however to deal with this crisis is to impose the same kind of tariffs “dollar for dollar” against US imports.
The US economy is ten times bigger than ours, much less reliant on trade than ours, and much less dependent on our market than we are on theirs.
Not only would retaliatory tariffs have much less impact on American exporters, they would immediately impoverish Canadian consumers forced to pay more for imported goods, as well as destabilize Canadian businesses that need inputs from the US in their production processes. It would more than double the harm of the US tariffs to our economy.
Trade wars are bad for everyone, but they are much worse for a small country with fewer options. We simply cannot win a trade war with the US. It’s very unlikely that Trump will back down. All we will do is provoke a massive economic crisis in Canada, until we are forced to capitulate.
Another self-destructive thing to do would be to set up giant “pandemic-level” bailout plans to support everyone affected by this trade war. This will simply bankrupt our governments even more than they already are and make us even weaker.
So what should we do?
1. Double down on efforts to control our border, crack down on fentanyl dealers, deport all illegals, and impose a complete moratorium on immigration, to answer Trump’s immediate concerns about Canada.
2. Tell the US administration that we are ready to renegotiate North American free trade and put dairy supply management and other contentious issues on the table.
3. Wait and see to what extent Trump is willing to keep tariffs in place despite the harm it does to the US economy. Despite his pretenses that Americans don’t need our stuff, the reality is that on the contrary they have few other options for crucial resources like oil, lumber, uranium and other minerals, etc. He will stop acting like a bully when he sees that he can get more results by sitting down and negotiating.
3. To reduce our dependence on the US market, immediately implement an ambitious plan to tear down interprovincial trade barriers and help our impacted exporting industries find alternative markets in other countries.
4. Immediately implement a series of bold reforms to make our economy more productive, including: reduce corporate and personal taxes, abolish the capital gains tax, abolish all corporate subsidies, get rid of excessive regulation, remove impediments to the exploitation and export of natural resources, drastically cut government spending, mandate the Bank of Canada to stop printing money and start accumulating a gold reserve to prepare for the global monetary reset (which is likely part of Trump’s plan).
In short, instead of adopting a suicidal strategy to confront Trump, we must do what we should have done a long time ago to strengthen our economy and our bargaining position. The transition will be rough, but not as much as complete bankruptcy and disintegration.
重要的是要明白，特朗普总统今天宣布的 25% 关税并非针对加拿大——这些关税将由购买从加拿大进口的商品的美国消费者和企业支付。关税是一种税，而那些必须支付更多费用或无法获得我们产品的美国人将是首当其冲的受害者。
当然，加拿大出口这些商品的商户将因此失去客户、合同和销售，被迫削减产量和裁员。或者他们将降低价格以保持市场份额，利润也将减少。
由于我们的75%出口产品销往边境以南，因此我们的经济肯定会受到非常不利的影响。
然而，我们政府为应对这场危机所能做的最愚蠢的事情就是对美国进口产品征收同样的“一美元对一美元”的关税。
美国经济规模是我们经济的十倍，对贸易的依赖比我们小得多，对我们市场的依赖比我们对美国市场的依赖也小得多。
报复性关税不仅对美国出口商的影响小得多，而且还会立即使加拿大消费者陷入贫困，被迫为进口商品支付更多费用，并破坏在生产过程中需要美国投入的加拿大企业的稳定。这将使美国关税对我国经济的损害增加一倍以上。
贸易战对每个人都不利，但对一个选择较少的小国来说，情况更糟。我们根本无法赢得与美国的贸易战。特朗普不太可能会支持down.我们所做的就是在加拿大引发大规模经济危机，直到我们被迫屈服。
另一个自毁行为是制定庞大的“疫情级”救助计划，以支持所有受贸易战影响的人。这只会让我们的政府比现在更加破产，让我们变得更加虚弱。
那么我们该怎么办呢？
1.加倍努力管控边境，打击芬太尼贩卖者，驱逐所有非法移民，并全面暂停移民，以回应特朗普对加拿大的迫切担忧。
2.告诉美国政府，我们准备重新谈判北美自由贸易，并将乳制品供应管理和其他有争议的问题摆到桌面上来。
3. 等着看特朗普在多大程度上愿意维持关税，尽管这会损害美国经济。尽管他假装美国人不需要我们的东西，但事实是，相反，他们在石油、木材、铀和其他矿物等关键资源方面几乎没有其他选择。当他看到坐下来谈判能取得更多成果时，他就不会再像个恶霸一样行事了。
3.为了减少对美国市场的依赖，立即实施一项雄心勃勃的计划，打破省际贸易壁垒，并帮助我们受影响的出口产业在其他国家找到替代市场。
4.立即实施一系列大胆改革，使我们的经济更有生产力，包括：降低企业和个人所得税、取消资本利得税、取消所有企业补贴、摆脱过度监管、消除对自然资源开采和出口的障碍、大幅削减政府开支、授权加拿大银行停止印钞并开始积累黄金储备，为全球货币重置做准备（这很可能是特朗普计划的一部分）。
简而言之，我们不应该采取自杀式的策略来对抗特朗普，而应该做我们早就应该做的事情来加强我们的经济和谈判地位。转型将是艰难的，但不会像彻底破产和解体那么艰难。
据说这是得到了50万+点赞的加拿大帖子，但是感觉作者对加拿大实力估计过头了。
加拿大认为川普关税与马斯克脱不了干系，所以….加拿大前财政部长克里斯蒂娅·弗里兰明确表示，加拿大会对特斯拉实施100%关税！加拿大认为，马斯克不仅是川普的支持者之一，更是共和党选民偏爱的企业家。他的公司严重依赖北美市场，尤其是加拿大消费者。而一旦加拿大对特斯拉加征关税，美国车主的购买成本将飙升，这将直接影响马斯克的利润，更重要的是，可能削弱他对川普的支持力度。
